"No matter what anyone says, we are committed to making sure every vote is counted. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson is increasing his lead over Lt. Gov. Leaders expect it to keep growing. State Treasurer Sarah Godlewski followed suit on Friday, saying that the Democratic Party should be united going into the election. ", Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. But a successful rebrand, as well as unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime and criminal justice issues, appeared to help Johnson's standing among voters. Wisconsin Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Lt. Gov. Wisconsin GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for reelection against Democratic Lt. Gov. Johnson was one of Trump's most ardent legislative supporters of the 2017 tax reform bill, which overhauled the tax code and repealed the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate. Barnes became Wisconsin's first Black lieutenant governor in 2018 and he would become the state's first Black U.S. senator if he defeats Johnson. Due to a planned power outage on Friday, 1/14, between 8am-1pm PST, some services may be impacted. Johnson had built a small lead in most polls over Barnes though within the margin of error after he began his relentless focus on crime, and his victory suggests the strategy was a success. Barnes was supported by 46 percent of registered Wisconsin voters, and the senator was backed by just 44 percent. In a general election match up, Mandela beats Ron Johnson by 2 points, more than any of his opponents. Barnes made an early bet to run as a progressive and largely did not move to the center. One percent of respondents said they would vote for neither candidate and 1% said they were undecided. Republican U.S. Senate candidate Ron Johnson, right, and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Mandela Barnes participate during a televised debate Thursday, Oct. 13, 2022, in Milwaukee. His campaign released a statement saying it has known all along this race "would be incredibly close.". The two candidates are scheduled to hold their second and final televised debate on Thursday. US Congress; Getty; Marianne Ayala/Insider, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. For weeks, Wisconsin Republican Senator Ron Johnson and his allies have been running a set of attack ads against Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes about crime.One ad focuses on violent crime . The registered voter sample has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percentage points. Why is there a long line of railcars parked on the tracks near Spooner? Barnes appeared with Lasry and Godlewski as they made their announcements, praising their campaigns. In 2020, now-President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by roughly 20,000 votes out of nearly 3.3 million ballots cast. There is no path mathematically for Lt. Gov. Follow her on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hausofcait. On Sunday, the Trafalgar Group released the results of a survey of Wisconsin voters conducted between Aug. 22 and Aug. 25. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. / CBS News. The 2022 Wisconsin gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wisconsin.Incumbent Democratic governor Tony Evers won re-election to a 2nd term, defeating Republican nominee, Tim Michels.. As Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes ran for the U.S. Senate in the concurrent election, a new Democratic running mate, state assemblywoman Sara Rodriguez, was nominated in . Johnson struck a somber note when reflecting on the closeness of his race. IE 11 is not supported. Governor Mandela Barnes, left and US Senator Ron Johnson participate in the senate debate co-hosted by Marquette University and TMJ4 at Marquette University's Varsity Theatre at 1326 W.. Wisconsin's lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes, 35, is trying to unseat Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, 67, who was first elected in 2010. While Johnson has outperformed polls before, political experts note unique challenges this election cycle. Republican strategist Brian Schimming addressed the crowd a couple of times, telling them the Johnson campaign was waiting for a national call on the race. The incumbents leads were reversed, however, when the CNN poll results were expanded to include all registered voters in the state. . On the other hand, Mandela Barnes said he agreed to be a part of the debate anchored by the Main Street Alliance and the Wisconsin Farmers Union because the group commonly lines up with the democrats. He said the best way to do that would be by allowing Wisconsinites to settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum. Among those citing integrity as most important, Barnes won 54% of the vote, while among those saying a candidate who shares values with them is most important, 60% voted for Johnson. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. At the beginning of the election cycle, Johnson was seen as one of the most vulnerable Republican incumbents in the U.S. Senate. It continued, labeling Barnes as a "socialist who wants to fundamentally transform America. The votes are in, Johnson said in an email statement that was released before NBC News and other news outlets made the call. Mandela Barnes, clashed on crime and Jan. 6 as they tussled during their first debate on Friday.. Moderator and veteran newscaster . Mandela Barnes is leading in recent polls against the pro-Trump senator, whose positions on abortion and same-sex marriage, as well as . or redistributed. Barnes led Johnson 49.4 percent to 47.1 percent. Get the latest updates from the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more Fox News politics content. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Mandela Barnes speaks at a rally for Jacob Blake Jr., who was paralyzed in a police shooting last year, in Kenosha, Wis. Barnes is leading in the Democratic primary to replace Republican Sen. Ron Johnson. Notably, the margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. FOX NEWS POLL: POLARIZATION DEFINES THE MIDTERM ELECTION. Wisconsin's Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. The three Democrats, who had endorsed Barnes after they had. The crowd in Neenah cheered to life again when Johnson took the stage just after 1 a.m. With 98 percent of votes counted, AP results showed Johnson defeating Barnes 50.5 percent to 49.5 percent. The lieutenant governor and former State Assembly member is expected to face a difficult campaign as he seeks to unseat Johnson, who has served in the Senate since 2011. Lee said Johnson and Republican political action committees quickly launched attack ads aimed at Barnes painting him as a radical liberal that's out of touch with average Wisconsinites. Eran Ben-Porath contributed to this report. 'The most vulnerable Republican incumbent' The Barnes strategy is to define Johnson as a changed man, someone who went to Washington as an insurgent candidate but then enmeshed himself into the. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. their first televised debate, held on Friday, discussing, have hammered Barnes and other Democratic candidates, What we learned from the NBC News Fetterman interview, Midterm elections roundup: Arizona debate debacle, California poll: Homelessness is most urgent issue in the state. S en. Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson suspended his Senate campaign on Monday, followed by Milwaukee Bucks executive Alex Lasry on Wednesday. At right, Barnes offers his state's votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. In Marquette's September poll, Evers led Michels among likely voters 47% to 44%. Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter for CBS News Digital. In 2016, Trump secured just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin's votes. The new survey found Johnson up just 1 percentage point among likely Wisconsin voters, with 50 percent saying theyd learn toward the Republican if the election were held today and 49 percent saying the same of Barnes. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson has won re-election to a third term in Wisconsin, NBC News projects, narrowly defeating Democrat Mandela Barnes. "Barnes is really going to have to execute a strong strategy of defining himself positively and pushing back against an enormous amount of negative campaigning that is already coming his way and will surely only escalate between now and Election Day," Chergosky said. Part of the shift can be attributed to likely independent voters. The Wisconsin Senate race is a virtual toss-up, with Republican Sen. Ron Johnson edging Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes within the margin of error in a Marquette University Law School poll. 33. With 98.91% of the vote in, Johnson had 50.5% . Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. The small margins indicate a tight race with the midterms just two weeks away. Evers and Michels will face off on Friday for their only televised debate. Feingold ran for his old seat in a 2016 rematch. Democratic candidate Mandela Barnes, the state's. Ron Johnson has turned up the volume on the issue of race in his closing message to base voters, whose support will be crucial in his tight contest against Mandela Barnes, who would be the state's . Stay up to date with what you want to know. Marquette's August survey had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent. Johnson, a former plastics executive and political ally of former President Donald Trump, has long tacked to the right in his voting record while representing Wisconsin a swing state that nonetheless retains a robust conservative base. ", Barnes did not take the stage on election night. Democrat Mandela Barnes and Republican Sen. Ron Johnson sparred over their respective ties to the middle class and their views on crime in the second and possibly final Wisconsin Senate debate. An older poll, conducted last September by Clarity Campaign Labs for Barnes' campaign, showed the Democrat tied with Johnson. Mandela Barnes speaks to supporters during his campaign for U.S. Senate on Saturday, Oct. 8, 2022, in Middleton, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. Top Sheboygan officials lacked key details on police department sexual harassment probes, State lawmakers try again to allow DACA recipients to become police officers in Wisconsin, Tired of waiting, a Wisconsin island community is directing millions to create its own high-speed internet. Access your favorite topics in a personalized feed while you're on the go. Both politicians were backed by 43 percent of likely voters. Develop Marquette Law School defines "likely voters" as those "who say they are certain to vote or who say they have already voted. The schools previous poll, from September, showed a much tighter race, with Johnson leading Barnes 49% to 48%. He said residents should also expect "a new low" in terms of how negative campaign ads will be this election cycle. Johnson leads with men and older voters.. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. "We feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. Copyright 2023 CBS Interactive Inc. All rights reserved. Barnes' campaign and allied outside Democratic groups launched a series of attacks against Johnson painting him as an out-of-touch millionaire who worked to secure tax cuts for himself and billionaire donors in 2017. Notably, Barnes, 35, would become the first Black senator ever elected from Wisconsin if he manages to defeat Johnson, 67. That ruling meant Wisconsins near-total abortion ban from 1849 went into effect over the summer. But Evers' approval rating remains above water. "He's not in a place, in terms of his favorability and unfavorability numbers, where an incumbent senator would want to be," Chergosky said. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. You can follow him on Twitter @timothynerozzi and can email him at timothy.nerozzi@fox.com. AP Photo/Mike Roemer. Nearly all of the likely voters, or 94 percent, said their minds were made up about their chosen candidate, leaving 6 percent who might change their mind before the November election. Some ads focused on positions Barnes had taken or statements he had made such as his support for ending cash bail and saying that reducing prison populations is now sexy while others made misleading claims about his tenure as the state's lieutenant governor, like accusing his administration of having paroled hundreds of violent offenders. The lieutenant governor joined supporters in Milwaukee at noon to make remarks on the U.S. Senate race. That poll surveyed 756 likely voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 points. Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson has won reelection to a third term, narrowly defeating Democratic Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes on Tuesday. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. The man leading the charge to unseat Johnson this year is the polar opposite of the millionaire Boomer conservative: Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes, a 35-year-old Black former community organizer. The margin of error for the poll's likely voters sample is plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. MILWAUKEE A new Marquette Law School Poll survey of Wisconsin voters finds close races for governor and for the U.S. Senate. Analyzing the Wisconsin Senate and governor's races, the poll found both races deadlocked: Mr Barnes trails incumbent Sen Ron Johnson by. Johnson, a former plastics company executive from Oshkosh, was first elected in 2010, defeating former Democratic U.S. Sen. Russ Feingold in a Republican-wave election. Those results weren't far off from a Marquette University Law School poll on Aug. 17, showing Barnes beating Johnson 51 percent to 44 percent among likely midterm voters. In order to do so, the Republican-controlled state Legislature would need to pass a constitutional amendment. InWisconsin's Senate race between Republican Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic Lt. Gov. Barnes' lead was within the polls' 2.9 percent margin of error. In the June poll released by Marquette Law School testing each candidate's strength against Johnson, Barnes hits or approaches those benchmarks, while Lasry falls far short of the numbers needed . Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything Bill Maher: I am afraid of Trump on a very personal level, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Trumps polling strength causes heartburn for Senate GOP, The shepherd boy, the wolf and the threat to Israeli democracy. The Marquette Law Poll was conducted from Oct. 24 to Nov. 1 via landline and cell phone. Mandela Barnes, CBS News is projecting Johnson the winner. Johnson is running for reelection to a third term, while Barnes hopes to topple the GOP. Johnson's latest margin wasin line withhis two-point lead over Barnes in a Nov. 2 Marquette University Law School poll. Stay informed with WPR's email newsletter. Ron Johnson Dramatically Underperforms in First Finance Report Since Announcing for Reelection - Lt. Gov. Wisconsins gubernatorial race, meanwhile, has tightened: 47 percent of likely voters support incumbent Democratic Gov. (AP Photo/Morry Gash) Among the slightly larger sample of 802 registered voters, Johnson maintains 48% support. In the final weeks, Johnson focused on crime in particular, unleashing a barrage of negative ads that highlighted rising crime rates and singling out things Barnes had said about criminal justice reform. Photograph: Morry Gash/AP Ron Johnson's campaign of 'race and fear' is affecting Senate race that. He pulled ahead of Barnes in recent polling after a September onslaught of negative ads that painted Barnes as a soft-on-crime, radical liberal. In the new poll, registered Wisconsin voters said the issue they were most concerned about was inflation, followed by public schools, gun violence, abortion policy and crime. But, you know, I'm not going to declare victory until all the numbers are in. Mandela Barnes. U.S. Senate candidates Mandela Barnes and Ron Johnson sparred over a wide range of issues - everything from decriminalizing marijuana and immigration to the minimum wage, abortion and crime - during their first debate leading up to the 2022 fall midterm election.. Vermont Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R) 34. Barnes leads Johnson with women and younger voters. Tony Evers, sought to portray Johnson as a champion of monied interests and pledged to work with lawmakers to enact policies that would benefit working-class families, including an expansion of the child tax credit. Supporters wait for Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., to speak at an election night party in Neenah, Wis., Tuesday, Nov. 8, 2022. A pedestrian walks by a sign in front of a polling location on Tuesday, April 5, 2022, in Milwaukee, Wis. Angela Major/WPR. In the September survey, Johnsons lead among that group was 48% to 46%. That means Barnes' narrow lead is well within the survey's margin of error. MADISON, Wis. (AP) U.S. Senate Republican Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes got personal in their final debate Thursday before the Nov. 8 election, with each candidate . Johnson has downplayed the violent insurrection at the U.S. Capitol that day on Jan. 6, where Trump supporters assaulted Capitol police officers as they tried to stop Congress from certifying President Joe Biden's 2020 victory. Lt. Gov. The Republicans in both races hold a lead among independent voters, with Michels squeaking out a 1 point lead (44 percent to Evers 43) and Johnson dominating with 51 percent to Barnes 45. At Johnson's election night watch party in Neenah, the crowd was in high spirits throughout the evening giving loud cheers as they watched Fox News election coverage of the race. "Of course, we've said that before," Chergosky said. Barnes to overcome his 27,374 vote deficit. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. If Barnes were to win, he'd become Wisconsin's first Black senator. Independent candidate Joan Beglinger who ended her campaign in September but will still be on the ballot garnered 4% in the poll, while 1% of respondents said they were undecided. Sen. Ron Johnson is leading Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes in a new poll of the Wisconsin Senate race released Wednesday. Mandela Barnes Plagued by Misleading Attacks with Racist Undertones in His Bid to Unseat GOP Sen. Ron Johnson Wisconsin Lt. Gov. Legal Statement. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. Lt. Gov. When results started trickling in around 8:30 p.m. Tuesday, Barnes took an early lead over Johnson, but the Republican slowly closed the gap as more of the state's precincts reported. U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., left, and his Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes shake hands before a televised debate, Friday, Oct. 7, 2022, in Milwaukee. Biden garnered 49.5 percent four years later. On Jan. 9, he announced a run for a third term, stating his decision to do so was based on a belief that "America is in peril. Approximately 50% of likely voters said they support Johnson in the race, compared to 48% for Barnes, according to the Marquette poll of 679 likely voters. Vote preference includes those who say they are undecided but who say they lean toward a candidate. Tommy's Lounge, a vital lifeline to former forces personnel. Democrat Russ Feingold held the seat now occupied by Johnson from 1993 until he was defeated by the Republican in 2010. Senator Ron Johnson 's support appears to be slipping with Wisconsin voters entering the closing months of the state's midterm elections, a new poll says. Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting. Mandela Barnes cited a decade-old vote by Sen. Ron Johnson in favor of a balanced budget, but the best suggestion is cuts to law enforcement might have happened down the line as a. "The votes are in," Johnson said in an email. Incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson is widening the gap over his Democratic challenger, Mandela Barnes, in Wisconsins Senate race, a new poll from Marquette Law School found. Market data provided by Factset. That was still the case in the law school's final pre-election poll, which found 43 percent of those surveyed had a favorable opinion of Johnson and 46 percent had an unfavorable view. Washington Patty Murray (D) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R) 35. Tony Evers leads GOP challenger Tim Michels among likely voters 47% to 46%. This race is over.. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Johnson promised to be a "citizen legislator" and serve just two terms. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Barnes, who in 2018 was elected as lieutenant governor on a ticket with Democratic Gov. NBC News projects Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin wins re-election, unrelenting attacks against Barnes on crime. Just more than 3 percent of those surveyed were undecided. The latest Marquette Law School poll also found the race for governor has tightened in the pivotal battleground state. Barnes enjoyed a 4-point lead over Johnson if the election were held today among all registered voters, and a 2-point lead in favorability. Barnes had also attempted to undercut Johnsons claims that he supports law enforcement by repeatedly pointing out that he downplayed the Jan. 6 riot, in which police were overrun and in some cases brutally beaten by a pro-Trump mob. The new poll shows the two candidates are tied at 47%, with 4% saying they wouldn't vote for either candidate and 2% saying they didnt know yet, suggesting turnout will be key. We will wait and see what the Wisconsin voters have decided after all their voices are heard," the statement said. Updated on: November 9, 2022 / 11:38 AM Barnes sought. But there are key differences this year, said Chergosky. He trails narrowly among White voters, getting a similar share of them that Biden got in 2020. 2016: Johnson (R) +3.4|2010: Johnson (R) +4.9, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,GenericVote|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, Senate Map,Polls,Projection|House Map,Polls,Generic Ballot|Governor Map,Polls,Projection|2022,'24 Polls, RCP Average:Johnson +3.6RCP Ranking:Toss UpRCP Projection:GOP HoldKey 2022 Races:Governor|Senate|WI-3, 2020:President|WI-32018:Governor|Senate|WI-1|WI-32016:President|Senate|WI-82014:Governor|WI-6|WI-72012:President|Governor (Recall)|Senate|WI-7|WI-82010:Governor|Senate|WI-3|WI-7|WI-8, All Wisconsin Senate - Johnson vs. Barnes Polling Data. making false or misleading claims about the shots, Johnson has hired one of Wisconsin's 10 fake electors, most expensive election contests in the country, settle the abortion issue via a direct referendum, Bernie Sanders endorses Mandela Barnes for US Senate, Ron Johnson calls for annual approval of Social Security, Medicare funding, Democratic Lt. Gov. It was all to play for Thursday night as Republican U.S. Sen. Ron Johnson met Democratic challenger, Lt. Gov. The. But despite the ex-senator leading in most public polling that year, he went on to narrowly lose to Johnson once again. Sen. Ron Johnson and Democratic challenger Mandela Barnes side by side. Barnes raised nearly $34.6 million, spent $32 million, and had almost $2.6 million in the bank, as of October 19. (AP Photo/Morry Gash). Editor's note: WPR's Jonah Chester, Joe Schulz and Andrea Anderson contributed reporting to this story. Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers is a Democrat who won the office in 2018. Mandela Barnes in the U.S. Senate race, according to two new polls. A Fox News poll released Aug. 18 had Barnes with 50 percent of the support of likely voters and Johnson trailing with 46 percent. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. For questions or comments, contact WPRs Audience Services at 1-800-747-7444, email listener@wpr.org or use our Listener Feedback form. Johnson also holds a 2-point lead over Barnes in favorability ratings among likely voters, with 46 percent saying they have a favorable opinion of the Republican and 44 percent saying the same of the Democrat. But I just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over.". A previous April survey by Marquette Law School showed that half of Wisconsin's voters did not believe Johnson actually cared about them. Keep updated on the latest news and information. Mandela Barnes concedes US Senate race to Republican incumbent Ron Johnson, Sarah Godlewski exits Democratic US Senate primary, clearing the path for Mandela Barnes, After clearing Democratic field in US Senate Race, Mandela Barnes faces toughest battle of political career, Evers proposes $750M for broadband expansion amid massive federal investment in high-speed internet, Evers proposes $3.8B in state building projects. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. Johnson has compared the rioters to tourists and during a presentation to Milwaukee Rotary Club in early October, Johnson said calling the attack an armed insurrection is inaccurate. She won reelection with over 55 percent of the vote in 2018. By comparison, 48 percent of Wisconsinites said they approved of their Democratic governor, and only 45 percent said they disapproved. "I do believe that this time truth has prevailed over the lies, over the character assassination," Johnson said. 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